Regression Statistics for “Did the % of Party Affiliation by County in California Have an Effect on the % of the Vote each Candidate Won?”
A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.
| Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) + intercept ) |
| Number of modeled observations: | 58 |
| Number of filtered observations: | 0 |
| Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |
| Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |
| SSE (sum squared error): | 0.128169 |
| MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0022887 |
| R-Squared: | 0.589501 |
| Standard error: | 0.0478408 |
| p-value (significance): | < 0.0001 |
A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.
| Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) + intercept ) |
| Number of modeled observations: | 58 |
| Number of filtered observations: | 0 |
| Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |
| Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |
| SSE (sum squared error): | 0.13441 |
| MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0024002 |
| R-Squared: | 0.553057 |
| Standard error: | 0.0489917 |
| p-value (significance): | < 0.0001 |
A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (Republican).
| Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (Republican) + intercept ) |
| Number of modeled observations: | 58 |
| Number of filtered observations: | 0 |
| Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |
| Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |
| SSE (sum squared error): | 0.299488 |
| MSE (mean squared error): | 0.005348 |
| R-Squared: | 0.0408042 |
| Standard error: | 0.07313 |
| p-value (significance): | 0.128354 |
A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (Republican).
| Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (Republican) + intercept ) |
| Number of modeled observations: | 58 |
| Number of filtered observations: | 0 |
| Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |
| Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |
| SSE (sum squared error): | 0.29683 |
| MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0053005 |
| R-Squared: | 0.0129778 |
| Standard error: | 0.0728047 |
| p-value (significance): | 0.394503 |
A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference).
| Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) + intercept ) |
| Number of modeled observations: | 58 |
| Number of filtered observations: | 0 |
| Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |
| Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |
| SSE (sum squared error): | 0.312222 |
| MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0055754 |
| R-Squared: | 2.076e-05 |
| Standard error: | 0.0746685 |
| p-value (significance): | 0.972921 |
A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference).
| Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) + intercept ) |
| Number of modeled observations: | 58 |
| Number of filtered observations: | 0 |
| Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |
| Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |
| SSE (sum squared error): | 0.299712 |
| MSE (mean squared error): | 0.005352 |
| R-Squared: | 0.0033926 |
| Standard error: | 0.0731574 |
| p-value (significance): | 0.664071 |
A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (Democratic). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.
| Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (Democratic) + intercept ) |
| Number of modeled observations: | 58 |
| Number of filtered observations: | 0 |
| Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |
| Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |
| SSE (sum squared error): | 0.275387 |
| MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0049176 |
| R-Squared: | 0.117994 |
| Standard error: | 0.0701258 |
| p-value (significance): | 0.0082918 |
A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (Democratic). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.
| Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (Democratic) + intercept ) |
| Number of modeled observations: | 58 |
| Number of filtered observations: | 0 |
| Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |
| Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |
| SSE (sum squared error): | 0.280526 |
| MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0050094 |
| R-Squared: | 0.0671893 |
| Standard error: | 0.0707771 |
| p-value (significance): | 0.0494341 |
Individual trend lines:
| Panes | Line | Coefficients | ||||||
| Row | Column | p-value | DF | Term | Value | StdErr | t-value | p-value |
| % of Vote For Clinton | % of Registered Voters (Democratic) | 0.0082918 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (Democratic) | 0.271673 | 0.0992561 | 2.73709 | 0.0082918 |
| intercept | 0.407693 | 0.0397691 | 10.2515 | < 0.0001 | ||||
| % of Vote For Clinton | % of Registered Voters (Republican) | 0.128354 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (Republican) | -0.144907 | 0.0938848 | -1.54345 | 0.128354 |
| intercept | 0.562472 | 0.0330969 | 16.9947 | < 0.0001 | ||||
| % of Vote For Clinton | % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) | 0.972921 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) | -0.0116804 | 0.342562 | -0.0340972 | 0.972921 |
| intercept | 0.516132 | 0.0753021 | 6.85415 | < 0.0001 | ||||
| % of Vote For Clinton | % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) | < 0.0001 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) | -3.90505 | 0.435459 | -8.96768 | < 0.0001 |
| intercept | 0.727985 | 0.0247195 | 29.4499 | < 0.0001 | ||||
| % of Vote for Sanders | % of Registered Voters (Democratic) | 0.0494341 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (Democratic) | -0.201196 | 0.100178 | -2.00839 | 0.0494341 |
| intercept | 0.549906 | 0.0401385 | 13.7002 | < 0.0001 | ||||
| % of Vote for Sanders | % of Registered Voters (Republican) | 0.394503 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (Republican) | 0.0802029 | 0.0934672 | 0.858086 | 0.394503 |
| intercept | 0.444425 | 0.0329497 | 13.488 | < 0.0001 | ||||
| % of Vote for Sanders | % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) | 0.664071 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) | 0.14654 | 0.335629 | 0.436613 | 0.664071 |
| intercept | 0.439544 | 0.0737782 | 5.95765 | < 0.0001 | ||||
| % of Vote for Sanders | % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) | < 0.0001 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) | 3.71213 | 0.445934 | 8.32439 | < 0.0001 |
| intercept | 0.267676 | 0.0253142 | 10.5741 | < 0.0001 | ||||
